Chinese Turnover Deep-Dive

Chinese in Florida shows 2.7% closure pressure across 1,361 active licenses.

ROUTINE closure pressure -- a normal level of churn. 2.7%
1,361 active licenses tracked.
CHURNING ownership turnover -- heavy ownership turnover (possible hidden failure). 19.3%
Closure signal clusters in Clay, Marion, Alachua.
Failure here is largely HIDDEN -- low closures but heavy ownership turnover (a silent supertransition).

Failure pressure HIGH Confirmed closure rate 2.7% — ROUTINE Ownership turnover 19.3% — CHURNING

⚠ ownership turnover may be hiding failure

A low closure rate alone does not mean a cuisine is healthy: ownership can quietly turn over (a 'silent supertransition'), so a storefront keeps serving under new owners while the original business has effectively failed.

Ownership-turnover rate = this cuisine's active addresses that appear in the supertransition timeline or the DBPR Approve-Change-Owner feed within ~5y, over its active address count. It is a defensible LOWER BOUND -- the owner-change feed is a partial extract.

Active1,361

Delinquent licenses (DBPR 45/46)37

Closure rate2.7%

Dominant countiesClay, Marion, Alachua

Counts here are DBPR licenses in delinquent/inactive status (Primary Status Code 45 or 46) -- a public-record regulatory state, not a confirmed business closure. This delinquent population is much larger than the metro Closures dimension's confirmed-closed count, which additionally requires Google/news/field corroboration. A delinquent license is not by itself proof the business has shut.

Ownership Turnover Hidden failure

A storefront can fail — the business dies — while the license and address keep operating under a new owner. That “silent supertransition” hides failure behind a low closure rate, so turnover is tracked here as a second, distinct failure axis alongside confirmed closures.

Ownership turnover CHURNING 19.3% of 1355 active addresses (262 flagged) — heavy ownership turnover (possible hidden failure)

⚠ Confirmed closures are just 2.7%, but ownership is turning over at 19.3% — failure here is largely hidden as ownership flips, not closures.

Top turnover storefronts

Addresses where this cuisine operates today and the license/address has cycled owners or concepts within ~5 years.

							Open
9800 INTERNATIONAL DR	Orlando	Orange	38	33	Concept failure	CREATE A BOWL 2	›
1850 EMERSON ST	Jacksonville	Duval	34	33	Concept failure	MISFIT BBQ	›
12801 WEST SUNRISE BLVD	Sunrise	Broward	21	20	Concept failure	TOBU ORIENTAL EATERY
1 PANTHER PKWY	Sunrise	Broward	23	19	Concept failure	CLUB PREP KITCHEN
5108 15 ST E	Bradenton	Manatee	12	11	Concept failure	GOLOSINAS TITI II
3601 VINELAND RD STE 1	Orlando	Orange	12	11	Concept failure	MONICA'S COMFORT FOODS	›
200 E FLAGLER ST UNIT 108	Miami	Dade	12	11	Concept failure	J. WONG CEVICHE BAR / CHICKN' BRAS PERUVIAN KITCHEN
2083 N POWERLINE RD	Pompano Beach	Broward	12	11	Concept failure	PARGA PARTY RENTALS LLC
11225 MIRAMAR PKWY STE 220	Miramar	Broward	9	8	Concept failure	DUMPLING PANDA
3800 US HWY 98 N UNIT 680	Lakeland	Polk	8	7	Concept failure	CINEMARK LAKELAND SQUARE MALL
250 PALM COAST PKWY NE SUITE 201	Palm Coast	Flagler	8	7	Concept failure	THAI BY THAI
4200 CONROY RD UNIT N247	Orlando	Orange	8	7	Concept failure	HAAGEN-DAZS
4100 N WICKHAM RD STE 121	Melbourne	Brevard	8	7	Concept failure	WINGSTOP
11701 INTERNATIONAL DR STE 500	Orlando	Orange	7	6	Concept failure	BBQ TONIGHT
17860 SE 109 AVE STE 616	Summerfield	Marion	7	6	Concept failure	CAMPO AZUL MEXICAN KITCHEN

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Charts

Delinquent licenses (DBPR 45/46) by quarter


2015 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2016 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2016 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2016 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2016 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2017 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2017 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2017 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2017 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2018 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2018 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2018 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2018 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2019 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2019 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2019 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2019 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2020 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2020 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2020 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2020 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2021 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2021 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2021 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2021 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2022 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2022 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2022 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2022 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2023 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2023 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2023 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2023 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2024 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2024 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2024 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2024 Q4	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2025 Q1	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2025 Q2	0.0	0.8604651162790697
2025 Q3	1.0	0.8604651162790697
2025 Q4	11.0	0.8604651162790697
2026 Q1	18.0	0.8604651162790697
2026 Q2	7.0	0.8604651162790697
2026 Q3	0.0	0.8604651162790697

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

County closure-rate breakdown


Clay	13	3	23.1%	0.14
Marion	20	3	15.0%	0.08
Alachua	17	2	11.8%	0.07
Citrus	10	1	10.0%	0.07
Volusia	43	4	9.3%	0.07
Duval	87	6	6.9%	0.06
Osceola	33	2	6.1%	0.05
Collier	20	1	5.0%	0.03
Polk	48	2	4.2%	0.03
Orange	137	5	3.6%	0.03
Pinellas	60	2	3.3%	0.02
Seminole	31	1	3.2%	0.02
Lee	46	1	2.2%	0.01
Palm Beach	107	2	1.9%	0.01
Broward	129	1	0.8%	0.01
Dade	141	1	0.7%	0.00
St. Lucie	16	0	0.0%	0.00
St. Johns	11	0	0.0%	0.00
Martin	12	0	0.0%	0.00
Hernando	19	0	0.0%	0.00
Manatee	27	0	0.0%	0.00
Sarasota	31	0	0.0%	0.00
Pasco	38	0	0.0%	0.00
Hillsborough	115	0	0.0%	0.00
Charlotte	13	0	0.0%	0.00
Lake	26	0	0.0%	0.00
Brevard	46	0	0.0%	0.00

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Top same-address churn locations

						Open
860 NE 79 ST STE B	Miami	Dade	323	564	57.3%	›
1850 EMERSON ST	Jacksonville	Duval	301	701	42.9%	›
809 N MAGNOLIA AVE	Ocala	Marion	251	611	41.1%	›
2640 KUNZE AVE	Orlando	Orange	237	512	46.3%	›
11770 A METRO PKWY	Fort Myers	Lee	235	506	46.4%	›
5960 RICHARD ST	Jacksonville	Duval	200	752	26.6%	›
866 NE 79 ST	Miami	Dade	198	376	52.7%	›
5224 S DALE MABRY HWY	Tampa	Hillsborough	193	384	50.3%	›
4116 N HIMES AVE	Tampa	Hillsborough	187	761	24.6%	›
5007 N HIATUS RD	Sunrise	Broward	174	447	38.9%	›
929 W MICHIGAN ST	Orlando	Orange	158	295	53.6%	›
1 TROPICANA DR	St. Petersburg	Pinellas	150	379	39.6%	›
1 TIAA BANK FIELD DR	Jacksonville	Duval	129	353	36.5%	›
13920 SW 139 CT	Miami	Dade	108	366	29.5%	›
411 S FEDERAL HWY	Boynton Beach	Palm Beach	107	260	41.2%	›
5811 W IRLO BRONSON MEMORIAL HWY	Kissimmee	Osceola	103	332	31.0%	›
6657 49 ST N	Pinellas Park	Pinellas	103	179	57.5%	›
1400 COLONIAL BLVD STE 35	Fort Myers	Lee	102	241	42.3%	›
4880 DISTRIBUTION CT	Orlando	Orange	100	261	38.3%	›
1206 W ROBINSON ST	Orlando	Orange	95	250	38.0%	›

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

County closure rates


Clay	13	3	23.1%	0.14
Marion	20	3	15.0%	0.08
Alachua	17	2	11.8%	0.07
Citrus	10	1	10.0%	0.07
Volusia	43	4	9.3%	0.07
Duval	87	6	6.9%	0.06
Osceola	33	2	6.1%	0.05
Collier	20	1	5.0%	0.03
Polk	48	2	4.2%	0.03
Orange	137	5	3.6%	0.03
Pinellas	60	2	3.3%	0.02
Seminole	31	1	3.2%	0.02
Lee	46	1	2.2%	0.01
Palm Beach	107	2	1.9%	0.01
Broward	129	1	0.8%	0.01
Dade	141	1	0.7%	0.00
St. Lucie	16	0	0.0%	0.00
St. Johns	11	0	0.0%	0.00
Martin	12	0	0.0%	0.00
Hernando	19	0	0.0%	0.00
Manatee	27	0	0.0%	0.00
Sarasota	31	0	0.0%	0.00
Pasco	38	0	0.0%	0.00
Hillsborough	115	0	0.0%	0.00
Charlotte	13	0	0.0%	0.00
Lake	26	0	0.0%	0.00
Brevard	46	0	0.0%	0.00

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Data sources: Business turnover trends. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records — no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.