Juice/Smoothie Turnover Deep-Dive

Juice/Smoothie in Florida shows 6.2% closure pressure across 483 active licenses.

HEAVY closure pressure -- closures running above normal. 6.2%
483 active licenses tracked.
FLIPPING ownership turnover -- extreme turnover — failure likely hidden as ownership flips. 47.5%
Closure signal clusters in Duval, Collier, Broward.

Failure pressure CRITICAL Confirmed closure rate 6.2% — HEAVY Ownership turnover 47.5% — FLIPPING

A low closure rate alone does not mean a cuisine is healthy: ownership can quietly turn over (a 'silent supertransition'), so a storefront keeps serving under new owners while the original business has effectively failed.

Ownership-turnover rate = this cuisine's active addresses that appear in the supertransition timeline or the DBPR Approve-Change-Owner feed within ~5y, over its active address count. It is a defensible LOWER BOUND -- the owner-change feed is a partial extract.

Active483

Delinquent licenses (DBPR 45/46)30

Closure rate6.2%

Dominant countiesDuval, Collier, Broward

Counts here are DBPR licenses in delinquent/inactive status (Primary Status Code 45 or 46) -- a public-record regulatory state, not a confirmed business closure. This delinquent population is much larger than the metro Closures dimension's confirmed-closed count, which additionally requires Google/news/field corroboration. A delinquent license is not by itself proof the business has shut.

Ownership Turnover

A storefront can fail — the business dies — while the license and address keep operating under a new owner. That “silent supertransition” hides failure behind a low closure rate, so turnover is tracked here as a second, distinct failure axis alongside confirmed closures.

Ownership turnover FLIPPING 47.5% of 482 active addresses (229 flagged) — extreme turnover — failure likely hidden as ownership flips

Top turnover storefronts

Addresses where this cuisine operates today and the license/address has cycled owners or concepts within ~5 years.

							Open
11770 A METRO PKWY	Fort Myers	Lee	49	48	Concept failure	SPOON & THYME CATERING	›
1850 EMERSON ST	Jacksonville	Duval	39	38	Concept failure	MY WELLNESS CUISINE	›
6000 GLADES RD STE 1164B	Boca Raton	Palm Beach	10	9	Concept failure	MAGGIE MCFLYS
1000 UNIVERSAL STUDIOS PZ	Orlando	Orange	9	8	Concept failure	WATERING HOLE
11225 MIRAMAR PKWY STE B295	Miramar	Broward	9	8	Concept failure	FLANIGAN`S
3831 W VINE ST STE 56	Kissimmee	Osceola	8	7	Concept failure	ANTOJITOS DEL CARIBE
1700 W NEW HAVEN AVE STE 385	Melbourne	Brevard	7	6	Concept failure	ESTAMPA GAUCHA
11701 INTERNATIONAL DR STE 500	Orlando	Orange	7	6	Concept failure	MOON WOK KITCHEN & LOUNGE
5030 CHAMPION BLVD BLDG J	Boca Raton	Palm Beach	6	5	Concept failure	LOS OLIVOS BISTRO
9401 WEST COLONIAL DR STE 728	Ocoee	Orange	6	5	Concept failure	THAT ONE SPOT BURGER
3120 S KIRKMAN RD STE J	Orlando	Orange	6	5	Concept failure	JUICI PATTIES
5600 BLUE LAGOON DR UNIT 10	Miami	Dade	6	5	Concept failure	TROPICAL SMOOTHIE CAFE
15880 SUMMERLIN RD UNIT 101	Fort Myers	Lee	6	5	Concept failure	MAHI SUSHI THAI CUISINE AND PHO
11141 US HWY 19 N	Clearwater	Pinellas	5	4	Concept failure	BANH MI YUMMI
14965 OLD ST AUGUSTINE RD STE 106	Jacksonville	Duval	5	4	Concept failure	KITCHEN AT LEGACY ALE WORKS

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Charts

Delinquent licenses (DBPR 45/46) by quarter


2015 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2016 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2016 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2016 Q3	0.0	0.627906976744186
2016 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2017 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2017 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2017 Q3	0.0	0.627906976744186
2017 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2018 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2018 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2018 Q3	0.0	0.627906976744186
2018 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2019 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2019 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2019 Q3	0.0	0.627906976744186
2019 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2020 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2020 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2020 Q3	0.0	0.627906976744186
2020 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2021 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2021 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2021 Q3	0.0	0.627906976744186
2021 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2022 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2022 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2022 Q3	0.0	0.627906976744186
2022 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2023 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2023 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2023 Q3	0.0	0.627906976744186
2023 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2024 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2024 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2024 Q3	0.0	0.627906976744186
2024 Q4	0.0	0.627906976744186
2025 Q1	0.0	0.627906976744186
2025 Q2	0.0	0.627906976744186
2025 Q3	13.0	0.627906976744186
2025 Q4	6.0	0.627906976744186
2026 Q1	5.0	0.627906976744186
2026 Q2	3.0	0.627906976744186
2026 Q3	3.0	0.627906976744186

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

County closure-rate breakdown


Duval	27	7	25.9%	0.07
Collier	13	2	15.4%	0.05
Broward	53	6	11.3%	0.03
Sarasota	10	1	10.0%	0.02
St. Johns	11	1	9.1%	0.04
Orange	45	3	6.7%	0.02
Hillsborough	37	1	2.7%	0.01
Dade	80	2	2.5%	0.01
Palm Beach	48	1	2.1%	0.01
Brevard	13	0	0.0%	0.00
Seminole	14	0	0.0%	0.00
Lee	21	0	0.0%	0.00
Manatee	10	0	0.0%	0.00
Pinellas	20	0	0.0%	0.00

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Top same-address churn locations

						Open
860 NE 79 ST STE B	Miami	Dade	323	564	57.3%	›
1850 EMERSON ST	Jacksonville	Duval	303	715	42.4%	›
809 N MAGNOLIA AVE	Ocala	Marion	252	618	40.8%	›
11770 A METRO PKWY	Fort Myers	Lee	238	509	46.8%	›
2640 KUNZE AVE	Orlando	Orange	237	512	46.3%	›
5960 RICHARD ST	Jacksonville	Duval	204	767	26.6%	›
866 NE 79 ST	Miami	Dade	200	381	52.5%	›
5224 S DALE MABRY HWY	Tampa	Hillsborough	194	385	50.4%	›
4116 N HIMES AVE	Tampa	Hillsborough	187	761	24.6%	›
5007 N HIATUS RD	Sunrise	Broward	174	450	38.7%	›
929 W MICHIGAN ST	Orlando	Orange	158	295	53.6%	›
1 TROPICANA DR	St. Petersburg	Pinellas	150	379	39.6%	›
1 TIAA BANK FIELD DR	Jacksonville	Duval	129	353	36.5%	›
13920 SW 139 CT	Miami	Dade	109	367	29.7%	›
411 S FEDERAL HWY	Boynton Beach	Palm Beach	107	260	41.2%	›
5811 W IRLO BRONSON MEMORIAL HWY	Kissimmee	Osceola	103	333	30.9%	›
6657 49 ST N	Pinellas Park	Pinellas	103	179	57.5%	›
1400 COLONIAL BLVD STE 35	Fort Myers	Lee	102	241	42.3%	›
4880 DISTRIBUTION CT	Orlando	Orange	100	266	37.6%	›
1206 W ROBINSON ST	Orlando	Orange	95	251	37.8%	›

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

County closure rates


Duval	27	7	25.9%	0.07
Collier	13	2	15.4%	0.05
Broward	53	6	11.3%	0.03
Sarasota	10	1	10.0%	0.02
St. Johns	11	1	9.1%	0.04
Orange	45	3	6.7%	0.02
Hillsborough	37	1	2.7%	0.01
Dade	80	2	2.5%	0.01
Palm Beach	48	1	2.1%	0.01
Brevard	13	0	0.0%	0.00
Seminole	14	0	0.0%	0.00
Lee	21	0	0.0%	0.00
Manatee	10	0	0.0%	0.00
Pinellas	20	0	0.0%	0.00

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Data sources: Business turnover trends. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records — no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.