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Supertransition Velocity

Retail-rebrand acceleration and supertransition pressure.

Fast Food leads the current supertransition-velocity table. A supertransition happens when a restaurant closes and a completely new concept opens in the same location within 90 days. High velocity here suggests a location cycling through failed concepts. This report treats supertransition velocity as operator churn per address; a high rate means the location stays while owners or concepts cycle.

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Updated 2026-05-22 15:03 UTC

Charts

Supertransition velocity by cuisine

Open
Fast Food 176 5.5% running 0.9x below the typical rate 3229 0.08 ›
Pizza 173 5.7% running 0.8x below the typical rate 3032 0.08 ›
Bar 157 10.3% running 0.2x the typical rate 1525 0.07 ›
Cafe 124 6.8% running 0.6x below the typical rate 1830 0.06 ›
Restaurant 120 13.2% running 0.9x the typical rate 911 0.06 ›
Diner 119 8.8% running 0.1x below the typical rate 1354 0.06 ›
Hotel 109 9.6% running 0.1x the typical rate 1136 0.05 ›
Seafood 90 6.9% running 0.6x below the typical rate 1298 0.04 ›
American 83 12.4% running 0.8x the typical rate 671 0.04 ›
Tacos 71 10.9% running 0.4x the typical rate 653 0.03 ›
Mexican 60 8.2% running 0.2x below the typical rate 731 0.03 ›
Sushi 56 5.1% running 1.0x below the typical rate 1097 0.03 ›
Sandwiches 49 3.6% running 1.3x below the typical rate 1344 0.02 ›
Burgers 46 4.9% running 1.0x below the typical rate 932 0.02 ›
Brunch 45 6.2% running 0.7x below the typical rate 724 0.02 ›
Bakery 40 6.2% running 0.7x below the typical rate 645 0.02 ›
Chinese 39 3.3% running 1.4x below the typical rate 1166 0.02 ›
Resort 39 15.5% running 1.5x the typical rate 251 0.02 ›
Cuban 37 9.1% typical range 406 0.02 ›
Ice Cream 33 3.6% running 1.3x below the typical rate 916 0.02 ›

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Top 10 cuisines accelerating

Open
Fast Food 176 5.5% running 0.9x below the typical rate 3229 0.08 ›
Pizza 173 5.7% running 0.8x below the typical rate 3032 0.08 ›
Bar 157 10.3% running 0.2x the typical rate 1525 0.07 ›
Cafe 124 6.8% running 0.6x below the typical rate 1830 0.06 ›
Restaurant 120 13.2% running 0.9x the typical rate 911 0.06 ›
Diner 119 8.8% running 0.1x below the typical rate 1354 0.06 ›
Hotel 109 9.6% running 0.1x the typical rate 1136 0.05 ›
Seafood 90 6.9% running 0.6x below the typical rate 1298 0.04 ›
American 83 12.4% running 0.8x the typical rate 671 0.04 ›
Tacos 71 10.9% running 0.4x the typical rate 653 0.03 ›

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Top 10 counties accelerating

Open
Bay 1 300.0% running 7.7x the typical rate 3 0.17 ›
Leon 1 100.0% running 2.6x the typical rate 1 0.03 ›
Orange 5578 1.1% typical range 59 0.41 ›
Osceola 1170 0.9% typical range 10 0.26 ›
Lee 2561 0.8% typical range 20 0.26 ›
St. Lucie 830 0.7% typical range 6 0.18 ›
Hillsborough 4256 0.6% typical range 26 0.18 ›
Dade 9129 0.6% typical range 52 0.19 ›
Marion 975 0.5% typical range 5 0.13 ›
Volusia 1561 0.5% typical range 8 0.14 ›

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Top 10 counties decelerating

Open
Washington 0 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›
Walton 0 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›
Wakulla 0 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›
Union 14 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›
Taylor 1 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›
Suwannee 87 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›
Sumter 255 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›
St. Johns 987 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›
Santa Rosa 0 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›
Putnam 164 0.0% typical range 0 0.00 ›

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Top supertransition addresses

Open
866 NE 79 ST Miami Dade 142 171 ›
1850 EMERSON ST Jacksonville Duval 100 146 ›
809 N MAGNOLIA AVE Ocala Marion 87 124 ›
5960 RICHARD ST Jacksonville Duval 74 129 ›
4529 BAYSHORE RD N Ft Myers Lee 70 75 ›
2225 W 76 ST Hialeah Dade 56 60 ›
4116 N HIMES AVE Tampa Hillsborough 56 59 ›
4529 BAYSHORE RD North Fort Myers Lee 54 58 ›
1 TIAA BANK FIELD DR Jacksonville Duval 47 50 ›
1 TROPICANA DR St. Petersburg Pinellas 47 48 ›
1020 W MICHIGAN ST Orlando Orange 47 48 ›
4888 NW 183 ST #214 Miami Gardens Dade 45 48 ›
601 BISCAYNE BLVD Miami Dade 44 55 ›
414 SW 22 AVE Miami Dade 44 53 ›
1321 NW 155 DR Miami Dade 43 57 ›
4880 DISTRIBUTION CT Orlando Orange 42 47 ›
13920 SW 139 CT Miami Dade 41 51 ›
50 W ORANGE AVE UNIT 1 Eustis Lake 41 46 ›
5007 N HIATUS RD Sunrise Broward 39 50 ›
11770 A METRO PKWY Fort Myers Lee 38 43 ›
11555 E SLIGH AVE Seffner Hillsborough 36 48 ›
9800 INTERNATIONAL DR Orlando Orange 34 37 ›
929 W MICHIGAN ST Orlando Orange 32 33 ›
7550 PRUITT RESEARCH CENTER RD Fort Pierce St. Lucie 31 33 ›
400 WEST CHURCH Orlando Orange 31 32 ›
5224 S DALE MABRY HWY Tampa Hillsborough 29 34 ›
5811 W IRLO BRONSON MEMORIAL HWY Kissimmee Osceola 29 33 ›
1431 RAIL HEAD BLVD STE 1 Naples Collier 29 31 ›
4700 W SAND LAKE RD Orlando Orange 28 43 ›
7097 30 AVE N St. Petersburg Pinellas 28 35 ›
4072 NE 5 TER Oakland Park Broward 27 37 ›
6657 49 ST N Pinellas Park Pinellas 27 35 ›
174 NW 79 ST Miami Dade 27 33 ›
50 W ORANGE AVE Eustis Lake 26 31 ›
400 SW 22 AVE Miami Dade 26 29 ›
5304 CURRY FORD RD Orlando Orange 26 29 ›
4908 E BROADWAY AVE Tampa Hillsborough 25 34 ›
411 S FEDERAL HWY Boynton Beach Palm Beach 25 32 ›
1000 UNIVERSAL STUDIOS PLAZA Orlando Orange 24 32 ›
2112 SARNO RD Melbourne Brevard 24 25 ›
1610 W CHURCH ST Orlando Orange 24 24 ›
3450 RIO VISTA AVE Orlando Orange 23 25 ›
401 CHANNELSIDE DR Tampa Hillsborough 23 24 ›
1 PANTHER PKWY Sunrise Broward 22 29 ›
4450 PET LN STE 107 Lutz Hillsborough 22 26 ›
1501 NW 3 ST Miami Dade 21 24 ›
2083 N POWERLINE RD STE 3 Pompano Beach Broward 21 23 ›
1365 N MONORAIL WAY Bay Lake Orange 20 27 ›
502 E MAIN ST Lakeland Polk 20 26 ›
11770 METRO PKWY UNIT A Fort Myers Lee 20 24 ›
7550 PRUITT RESEARCH RD Fort Pierce St. Lucie 20 23 ›
3413 CORTEZ RD W Bradenton Manatee 19 23 ›
1501 NW 3RD STREET Miami Dade 19 21 ›
2801 14 ST W STE A Bradenton Manatee 19 21 ›
1000 UNIVERSAL STUDIOS PL Orlando Orange 18 23 ›
1025 N FLORIDA MANGO RD West Palm Beach Palm Beach 18 22 ›
13920 SW 139TH CT Miami Dade 18 21 ›
1 LEGOLAND WAY Winter Haven Polk 18 18 ›
4072 NE 5 TERR Oakland Park Broward 17 31 ›
7007 SEA WORLD DR Orlando Orange 17 25 ›
12491 SW 130 ST Miami Dade 17 22 ›
253 RIVER RD Oak Hill Volusia 17 21 ›
9318 E COLONIAL DR STE A7 Orlando Orange 17 18 ›
5805 W IRLO BRONSON MEMORIAL HWY Kissimmee Osceola 17 18 ›
400 SW 22ND AVE Miami Dade 17 17 ›
104 W CENTRAL AVE Winter Haven Polk 17 17 ›
4441 COLLINS AVE Miami Beach Dade 16 32 ›
1510 N AVE OF THE STARS Lake Buena Vista Orange 16 32 ›
6609 SUPERIOR AVE Sarasota Sarasota 16 22 ›
8100 BELVEDERE RD STE 12 West Palm Beach Palm Beach 16 22 ›
2346 W BEAVER ST Jacksonville Duval 16 21 ›
229 W 28 ST Hialeah Dade 16 20 ›
150 NW 16 ST Boca Raton Palm Beach 16 17 ›
3601 VINELAND RD STE 1 Orlando Orange 16 17 ›
1220 HAND AVE UNIT F Ormond Beach Volusia 16 16 ›
1047 E 28 ST Hialeah Dade 15 22 ›
4601 N LOIS AVE Tampa Hillsborough 15 19 ›
220 W BRANDON BLVD #105 Brandon Hillsborough 15 16 ›
9318 E COLONIAL DR A7 Orlando Orange 15 16 ›
1350 NW 55 ST Fort Lauderdale Broward 15 15 ›
501 E CAMINO REAL Boca Raton Palm Beach 14 33 ›
5960 RICHARDS ST Jacksonville Duval 14 24 ›
219 NW 10 AVE Gainesville Alachua 14 23 ›
4259 W FLAGLER ST Coral Gables Dade 14 20 ›
606-B COMMERCE DR Panama City Beach Bay 14 19 ›
32670 BLUE STAR HWY Midway Gadsden 14 18 ›
5500 SUNSEEKER WAY Port Charlotte Charlotte 14 17 ›
1322 JOHN YOUNG PKWY Kissimmee Osceola 14 15 ›
606 B COMMERCE DR Panama City Beach Bay 14 14 ›
1020 W. MICHIGAN ST Orlando Orange 14 14 ›
7415 NW 54 ST Miami Dade 13 22 ›
809 N MAGNOLIA AVE Ocala Marion 13 16 ›
15029 14 ST Dade City Pasco 13 14 ›
11770 METRO PKWY A Fort Myers Lee 13 13 ›
400 S COLLIER BLVD Marco Island Collier 12 25 ›
9801 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE Orlando Orange 12 18 ›
4751 MAIN ST Jupiter Palm Beach 12 17 ›
1101 W SLIGH AVE Tampa Hillsborough 12 16 ›
3601 VINELAND RD #1 Orlando Orange 12 15 ›
655 W CHURCH ST Orlando Orange 12 14 ›

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Data sources: CTI. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records โ€” no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.