RiskyEats

Semiannual closure-pressure outlook · Statistical risk modeling

Official records + calculations Counts and statistics derived from cited public records. Definitions →

Forecast Explorer

One selected model trajectory with history, baseline, and limitations.

One forecast at a time, with history, baseline, and model limits. Forecasts are model projections—not official records—and remain separate from observed inspection, license, and closure events.

Updated 2026-09-30 15:05 UTC

Forecast rows 38,310 RiskyEats calculation · current published snapshot · Florida
Source Time-series forecast RiskyEats calculation · current published snapshot · Florida

Charts

city_closure_rate_weekly forecast for city=jacksonville

city_closure_rate_weekly forecast for city=jacksonville. 90 plotted observations, ranging from 0.00 to 0.00. Open the data table for exact values.

Interactive chart loading; the data table below is the accessible fallback.

View data table

Forecast trajectory summary
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=jacksonville -0.000 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=miami +0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=tampa -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=orlando -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=kissimmee -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=new port richey -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=oviedo -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=sarasota -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=doral -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=fort myers -0.000 0.001 0.001
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=opa-locka -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=tallahassee -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=ocoee -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=gainesville -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=north fort myers -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=fort lauderdale -0.000 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=miami beach +0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=pensacola -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=destin -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=largo -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=merritt island -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=lake buena vista +0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=holly hill -0.000 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=naples -0.000 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=panama city -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=hallandale -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=key west -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=pembroke pines -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=sunny isles beach -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=orange park -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=ocala -0.001 0.001 0.000
closure events daily metro metro=florida-keys +0.606 0.207 0.813
closure events daily metro metro=fort-lauderdale +1.890 3.518 5.408
closure events daily metro metro=jacksonville +4.021 12.700 16.721
closure events daily metro metro=miami +3.821 4.556 8.376
closure events daily metro metro=north-florida +2.232 8.302 10.535
closure events daily metro metro=orlando -1.421 14.452 13.031
closure events daily metro metro=southwest-florida +3.354 2.402 5.757
closure events daily metro metro=tampa-bay +2.091 13.565 15.656
closure events daily metro metro=treasure-coast +1.264 2.312 3.576
closure events daily metro metro=west-palm-beach +5.281 5.567 10.848
closures daily statewide statewide=statewide -14.876 88.729 73.853
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=duval -0.000 0.001 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=dade +0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=hillsborough -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=seminole -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=orange +0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=pinellas -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=pasco -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=lee -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=manatee -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=marion -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=osceola -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=palm beach -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=sarasota -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=monroe -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=bay -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=volusia -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=brevard -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=broward -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=charlotte -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=leon -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=st. johns -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=alachua -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=escambia -0.001 0.001 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=okaloosa -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=lake +0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=martin -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=clay -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=polk -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=collier -0.000 0.001 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=hernando -0.000 0.001 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=citrus -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=bar -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=deli -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=american bbq -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=cocktail bar +0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=american +0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=sports bar -0.000 0.001 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=fast food -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=bagels -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=spanish +0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=cafe -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=sandwiches -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=french -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=bakery -0.000 0.001 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=brunch -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=donuts -0.002 0.002 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=diner -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=middle eastern -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=hot dogs -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=juice/smoothie -0.001 0.001 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=australian steak -0.002 0.002 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=cuban -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=salad bar -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=froyo -0.000 0.000 0.000
eor events daily statewide statewide=statewide -55.341 88.729 33.388
hp citations daily statewide statewide=statewide -932.697 3736.124 2803.428
hp violations daily metro metro=florida-keys +6.394 42.712 49.106
hp violations daily metro metro=fort-lauderdale -39.819 357.811 317.991
hp violations daily metro metro=jacksonville -83.331 430.630 347.298
hp violations daily metro metro=miami -170.554 470.705 300.152
hp violations daily metro metro=north-florida -26.685 250.569 223.884
hp violations daily metro metro=orlando -151.041 699.894 548.853
hp violations daily metro metro=southwest-florida -32.990 326.392 293.403
hp violations daily metro metro=tampa-bay -118.716 453.339 334.623
hp violations daily metro metro=treasure-coast +5.995 116.376 122.372
hp violations daily metro metro=west-palm-beach -85.833 442.495 356.662
inspection volume daily metro metro=florida-keys +26.132 37.699 63.831
inspection volume daily metro metro=fort-lauderdale -38.201 319.196 280.995
inspection volume daily metro metro=jacksonville -68.461 318.203 249.742
inspection volume daily metro metro=miami -141.133 481.431 340.298
inspection volume daily metro metro=north-florida -71.526 350.436 278.909
inspection volume daily metro metro=orlando -175.410 791.155 615.744
inspection volume daily metro metro=southwest-florida -40.511 410.231 369.720
inspection volume daily metro metro=tampa-bay -104.939 502.608 397.669
inspection volume daily metro metro=treasure-coast -11.914 106.453 94.539
inspection volume daily metro metro=west-palm-beach -48.319 240.128 191.809
inspections daily statewide statewide=statewide -849.156 3683.285 2834.129
new licenses daily statewide statewide=statewide -114.879 169.125 54.246
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=american +8.100 443.350 451.450
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=american bbq +2.819 60.686 63.505
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=american steak -32.058 125.329 93.271
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=asian -5.158 105.935 100.778
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bagels -13.545 114.780 101.235
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bakery +63.876 252.171 316.047
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bar -32.195 527.010 494.816
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bbq -21.225 96.327 75.102
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=brunch -12.615 294.895 282.280
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=burgers +102.925 309.859 412.784
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cafe +82.602 595.952 678.553
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cajun/creole -1.424 5.073 3.649
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=caribbean -22.863 102.955 80.092
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chinese +47.772 661.828 709.599
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cocktail bar -10.699 61.068 50.368
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cuban +53.144 234.976 288.120
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=deli +3.241 110.551 113.792
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=desserts +9.982 45.440 55.422
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=diner +26.500 326.866 353.366
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fast food +234.447 710.138 944.585
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fondue +0.219 4.606 4.824
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=french -15.755 35.152 19.396
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=gastropub -10.247 73.930 63.683
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=greek -10.733 98.808 88.075
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=health food -11.854 51.019 39.166
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=ice cream +22.711 162.134 184.845
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=indian -35.773 169.772 133.999
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=italian -18.741 338.708 319.967
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=japanese +23.329 127.828 151.157
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=juice/smoothie +5.690 82.485 88.176
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=latin american -5.933 231.349 225.416
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=mexican -58.240 730.554 672.314
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pizza +85.216 1101.932 1187.148
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=poke -1.611 6.640 5.030
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pub -46.965 129.395 82.429
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=ramen -19.788 46.059 26.270
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=sandwiches +46.773 365.236 412.009
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=seafood -36.248 665.715 629.468
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=southern -22.880 79.069 56.188
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=southern bbq -36.758 81.563 44.805
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=sports bar -21.082 298.649 277.566
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=sushi -137.685 525.271 387.586
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tacos -25.006 201.894 176.888
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tex-mex +2.533 15.933 18.466
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=thai -28.698 181.903 153.205
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tiki bar -20.133 48.999 28.866
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vegetarian -6.394 9.089 2.695
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vietnamese -5.837 112.128 106.291
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=wine bar -10.899 48.450 37.551
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=wings -6.645 49.407 42.762
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=argentine -11.781 33.410 21.629
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=australian steak -3.668 11.612 7.943
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bistro -9.503 45.019 35.517
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=boba -8.297 30.433 22.136
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=brazilian -1.855 32.371 30.516
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=breakfast +19.970 33.781 53.751
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=burritos +23.420 51.441 74.861
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chicken +49.618 155.811 205.428
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=colombian +20.246 92.420 112.666
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=dim sum -7.972 18.506 10.533
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=donuts +14.612 83.060 97.673
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fish & chips -6.144 13.416 7.272
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fried chicken +10.210 22.535 32.745
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=froyo -6.812 14.002 7.190
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=german -2.899 9.427 6.528
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=haitian +4.760 36.047 40.807
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=jamaican -18.555 83.945 65.390
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=lebanese -5.802 20.273 14.471
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=lounge -18.416 75.947 57.531
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=mediterranean -2.266 101.482 99.215
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=middle eastern -33.200 64.894 31.693
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pancakes -3.192 18.764 15.572
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=peruvian -6.446 120.809 114.364
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=polish +0.120 3.048 3.167
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=puerto rican -18.206 43.586 25.381
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=salad bar +6.039 34.059 40.098
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=south american -6.429 8.698 2.268
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=spanish +1.891 37.885 39.775
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=steak +15.634 30.594 46.229
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=subs -6.104 14.812 8.708
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=turkish -10.076 21.719 11.644
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=venezuelan -17.046 51.358 34.312
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=american tapas -0.738 2.626 1.888
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=brazilian steak -0.033 12.115 12.082
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=dominican -10.032 34.146 24.114
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=european +4.029 1.949 5.978
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=hot dogs -5.602 27.504 21.902
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=juice bar -11.043 18.879 7.836
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=korean -25.021 63.004 37.983
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=latin chicken -4.966 7.946 2.979
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=peruvian steak +1.761 0.979 2.739
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pho -3.691 12.128 8.438
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=popsicles -1.320 3.568 2.248
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=portuguese -2.545 5.052 2.507
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=raw bar -2.666 3.614 0.948
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=rotisserie -0.769 2.087 1.318
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=salad -4.379 12.792 8.413
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=spanish tapas -1.881 16.841 14.960
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tea -4.204 11.345 7.141
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vegan/veg -8.722 15.232 6.510
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=venezuelan steak +1.057 1.474 2.531
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=british -1.292 1.834 0.541
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chinese bbq -6.269 8.762 2.493
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chinese noodles -4.601 7.392 2.792
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cupcakes -3.177 5.127 1.950
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=korean bbq +2.578 4.445 7.023
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=noodles -9.127 17.110 7.983
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=popcorn -0.152 0.152 0.000
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=club -0.881 2.698 1.816
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=japanese noodles -2.433 5.723 3.290
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pan-asian -11.325 17.124 5.799
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pastries -8.236 10.882 2.645
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=russian -1.632 2.750 1.119
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=smoothies +0.098 4.133 4.232
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=soul food +1.081 2.892 3.973
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vegan -1.253 3.561 2.308
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=crêperie -5.665 7.523 1.858
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=filipino -4.680 11.737 7.058
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=french steak +1.263 0.249 1.513
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=indonesian -3.623 3.944 0.321
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=african -5.319 11.110 5.791
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fusion +0.030 3.996 4.025
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=moroccan -1.595 2.227 0.632
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pies -1.261 3.114 1.853
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vietnamese noodles -8.665 18.877 10.212
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cuban steak +0.665 1.496 2.161
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=waffles +1.130 3.661 4.791
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=argentine steak -10.242 20.169 9.927
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=indian bbq -1.755 3.547 1.792
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=israeli -3.466 10.677 7.211
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=italian steak -5.023 8.323 3.300
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=new american -10.598 19.123 8.525
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=dumplings -4.155 10.605 6.450
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=japanese steak -4.991 8.330 3.340
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=oyster bar -4.286 7.180 2.895
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chinese dumplings +0.110 7.901 8.012
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=hot pot -8.457 10.053 1.596
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=lobster -1.637 1.677 0.040
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=açaí -0.658 4.342 3.684
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=scandinavian -0.608 1.327 0.719
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tapas -1.174 6.392 5.218
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cheese -1.998 4.854 2.856
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=new american steak -2.070 3.916 1.846
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=candy -5.756 7.506 1.750
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=puerto rican bbq -2.256 3.079 0.823
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cuban bbq -3.970 5.626 1.656
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=southern steak -0.494 1.031 0.536
severity sum daily metro metro=florida-keys +87.534 632.840 720.374
severity sum daily metro metro=fort-lauderdale -509.521 4224.540 3715.019
severity sum daily metro metro=jacksonville -1157.086 5320.328 4163.242
severity sum daily metro metro=miami -2725.263 7302.423 4577.160
severity sum daily metro metro=north-florida -483.336 3189.918 2706.582
severity sum daily metro metro=orlando -2345.104 10102.175 7757.071
severity sum daily metro metro=southwest-florida -535.735 4299.252 3763.517
severity sum daily metro metro=tampa-bay -1824.333 6241.573 4417.240
severity sum daily metro metro=treasure-coast -36.693 1439.846 1403.153
severity sum daily metro metro=west-palm-beach -891.154 4354.971 3463.817
shared address DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly statewide=statewide -0.000 0.000 0.000
strip mall DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly statewide=statewide +0.000 0.000 0.000
sunbiz dissolutions weekly statewide statewide=statewide +227.843 40.572 268.414

Data sources: Statistical risk modeling. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records — no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.

Time-series forecasts and anomaly detection use NVIDIA NV-Tesseract. Model output is labeled separately from official records.

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