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Semiannual ORSM outlook ยท Statistical risk modeling

Descriptive Counts and statistics from the public record. Glossary →

TSE Forecast Trajectories

Forecast paths for FRI signals when TSE forecasts are present.

Forecast trajectories publish TSE rows when present and ORSM NIM trajectories otherwise. ORSM is the semiannual outlook layer: it turns FRII context and CTI velocity into forward-looking scenarios without replacing the deterministic records underneath.

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Updated 2026-05-22 15:03 UTC

Forecast rows90
SourceTSE

Charts

sunbiz_dissolutions_weekly_statewide ยท statewide=statewide

1 115.18528747558594 115.18528747558594
2 216.56407165527344 115.18528747558594
3 166.53302001953125 115.18528747558594
4 138.00650024414062 115.18528747558594
5 73.93157958984375 115.18528747558594
6 145.90615844726562 115.18528747558594
7 245.09059143066406 115.18528747558594
8 189.7930908203125 115.18528747558594
9 217.00294494628906 115.18528747558594
10 286.7831726074219 115.18528747558594
11 289.8552551269531 115.18528747558594
12 285.0277404785156 115.18528747558594
13 280.2001647949219 115.18528747558594
14 220.51390075683594 115.18528747558594
15 317.94293212890625 115.18528747558594
16 297.3160705566406 115.18528747558594
17 349.5415344238281 115.18528747558594
18 358.3188781738281 115.18528747558594
19 266.5951843261719 115.18528747558594
20 332.86444091796875 115.18528747558594
21 339.8863830566406 115.18528747558594
22 277.56695556640625 115.18528747558594
23 267.4729309082031 115.18528747558594
24 371.4849853515625 115.18528747558594
25 311.35986328125 115.18528747558594
26 341.2030029296875 115.18528747558594
27 322.7705078125 115.18528747558594
28 232.80227661132812 115.18528747558594
29 273.1782531738281 115.18528747558594
30 398.6949157714844 115.18528747558594
31 270.98388671875 115.18528747558594
32 279.76129150390625 115.18528747558594
33 209.54220581054688 115.18528747558594
34 189.7930908203125 115.18528747558594
35 255.18463134765625 115.18528747558594
36 254.74575805664062 115.18528747558594
37 219.19729614257812 115.18528747558594
38 246.40721130371094 115.18528747558594
39 231.92454528808594 115.18528747558594
40 268.3506774902344 115.18528747558594
41 211.2976837158203 115.18528747558594
42 221.8305206298828 115.18528747558594
43 241.5796356201172 115.18528747558594
44 313.55419921875 115.18528747558594
45 313.9930725097656 115.18528747558594
46 357.8800048828125 115.18528747558594
47 320.5761413574219 115.18528747558594
48 367.0962829589844 115.18528747558594
49 309.1654968261719 115.18528747558594
50 400.8891906738281 115.18528747558594
51 349.1026611328125 115.18528747558594
52 417.5662841796875 115.18528747558594
53 303.46026611328125 115.18528747558594
54 309.1654968261719 115.18528747558594
55 383.3344421386719 115.18528747558594
56 368.41290283203125 115.18528747558594
57 360.9521179199219 115.18528747558594
58 462.76983642578125 115.18528747558594
59 366.65740966796875 115.18528747558594
60 397.3782958984375 115.18528747558594
61 353.93023681640625 115.18528747558594
62 402.6446838378906 115.18528747558594
63 484.7132873535156 115.18528747558594
64 387.72314453125 115.18528747558594
65 414.93304443359375 115.18528747558594
66 399.5726623535156 115.18528747558594
67 354.3690490722656 115.18528747558594
68 396.50054931640625 115.18528747558594
69 336.8143005371094 115.18528747558594
70 360.51324462890625 115.18528747558594
71 311.35986328125 115.18528747558594
72 418.8829040527344 115.18528747558594
73 299.41888427734375 115.18528747558594
74 304.4502868652344 115.18528747558594
75 389.0693054199219 115.18528747558594
76 322.74627685546875 115.18528747558594
77 377.6343078613281 115.18528747558594
78 394.1007080078125 115.18528747558594
79 355.6790771484375 115.18528747558594
80 367.5715026855469 115.18528747558594
81 349.73291015625 115.18528747558594
82 294.38751220703125 115.18528747558594
83 431.1501159667969 115.18528747558594
84 386.78228759765625 115.18528747558594
85 440.2981262207031 115.18528747558594
86 392.728515625 115.18528747558594
87 377.6343078613281 115.18528747558594
88 341.04229736328125 115.18528747558594
89 424.9752197265625 115.18528747558594
90 477.8049011230469 115.18528747558594

Forecast trajectory summary

sunbiz dissolutions weekly statewide statewide=statewide +362.620 115.185 477.805

Data sources: Statistical risk modeling. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records โ€” no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.