Cuisine turnover in July 2026 is not one scoreboard. It is three scoreboards laid on top of each other: 84 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in the DBPR license file, 218 same-address operator churn records in the same-address churn corpus, and 0 proxy concept-change events in the displacement table. A delinquent license is a public-record regulatory state, not by itself proof a business has closed.
That is why Pizza can remain visible in the raw count column while a category like Middle Eastern can lead the rate table. The former tells you where the market is big. The latter tells you where the active base is getting thinned faster than its size would predict.
Top 10 Cuisines by Delinquency Rate (DBPR 45/46)
Middle Eastern: 2 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 2.4 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is new activity from a zero prior base versus the prior month; named records include BABYLON RESTAURANTS LOUNGE AND BAR in Jacksonville, and SFIHA'S in Orlando.
Tex-Mex: 2 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 1.9 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is up 100.0% versus the prior month; named records include TIJUANA FLATS in St. Cloud, and TIJUANA FLATS in Valrico.
Health Food: 3 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 0.7 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is up 200.0% versus the prior month; named records include JO'S AS ALWAYS in Pensacola, PLAYA BOWLS in Orlando, and LITTLE GREEK in Windermere.
Colombian: 1 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 0.6 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is new activity from a zero prior base versus the prior month; named records include RICURAS LATINAS in Margate.
Mexican: 13 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 0.6 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is up 160.0% versus the prior month; named records include TIJUANA FLATS in Ponte Vedra, TIJUANA FLATS BURRITO CO in Brandon, and TIJUANA FLATS in Seminole.
Juice/Smoothie: 2 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 0.4 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is down 33.3% versus the prior month; named records include PLAYA BOWLS in Pompano Beach, and WALRUS in Jacksonville.
Bagels: 1 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 0.4 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is flat 0.0% versus the prior month; named records include BAGELS R US #5 in Yulee.
Mediterranean: 1 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 0.4 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is down 50.0% versus the prior month; named records include BEIRUT RESTAURANT & SPIRIT in Jacksonville.
Indian: 1 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 0.3 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is new activity from a zero prior base versus the prior month; named records include WAAH INDIAN BISTRO AND KWALITY ICE CREAMS in Jacksonville.
Deli: 1 DBPR delinquent/inactive (status 45/46) license records in July 2026, equal to 0.2 delinquent per 100 active licenses. That is down 66.7% versus the prior month; named records include GATTO'S FAMILY DELI in Edgewater.
Top 10 by monthly DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate
| Middle Eastern | 2 | 82 | 2.4% | 2.4 | 0 | BABYLON RESTAURANTS LOUNGE AND BAR in Jacksonville, and SFIHA'S in Orlando |
| Tex-Mex | 2 | 107 | 1.9% | 1.9 | 1 | TIJUANA FLATS in St. Cloud, and TIJUANA FLATS in Valrico |
| Health Food | 3 | 461 | 0.7% | 0.7 | 1 | JO'S AS ALWAYS in Pensacola, PLAYA BOWLS in Orlando, and LITTLE GREEK in Windermere |
| Colombian | 1 | 171 | 0.6% | 0.6 | 0 | RICURAS LATINAS in Margate |
| Mexican | 13 | 2256 | 0.6% | 0.6 | 5 | TIJUANA FLATS in Ponte Vedra, TIJUANA FLATS BURRITO CO in Brandon, and TIJUANA FLATS in Seminole |
| Juice/Smoothie | 2 | 489 | 0.4% | 0.4 | 3 | PLAYA BOWLS in Pompano Beach, and WALRUS in Jacksonville |
| Bagels | 1 | 250 | 0.4% | 0.4 | 1 | BAGELS R US #5 in Yulee |
| Mediterranean | 1 | 251 | 0.4% | 0.4 | 2 | BEIRUT RESTAURANT & SPIRIT in Jacksonville |
| Indian | 1 | 292 | 0.3% | 0.3 | 0 | WAAH INDIAN BISTRO AND KWALITY ICE CREAMS in Jacksonville |
| Deli | 1 | 401 | 0.2% | 0.2 | 3 | GATTO'S FAMILY DELI in Edgewater |
Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.
Top 10 Cuisines by Operator Churn
Puerto Rican: 5 same-address churn locations, or 5.3 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
Health Food: 9 same-address churn locations, or 2.0 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
Latin American: 9 same-address churn locations, or 2.0 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
American: 32 same-address churn locations, or 1.4 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
Bar: 23 same-address churn locations, or 1.3 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
Mexican: 27 same-address churn locations, or 1.2 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
Cuban: 6 same-address churn locations, or 1.1 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
Bakery: 8 same-address churn locations, or 0.9 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
Seafood: 13 same-address churn locations, or 0.8 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
Japanese, Thai & Sushi: 15 same-address churn locations, or 0.7 per 100 active licenses. A representative address is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365), which is the kind of same-address churn that makes cuisine stability look cleaner than the retail history underneath it.
Top 10 by operator-churn rate
| Puerto Rican | 5 | 95 | 5.3% | 5.3 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Health Food | 9 | 461 | 2.0% | 2.0 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Latin American | 9 | 475 | 2.0% | 2.0 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| American | 32 | 2448 | 1.4% | 1.4 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Bar | 23 | 1863 | 1.3% | 1.3 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Mexican | 27 | 2257 | 1.2% | 1.2 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Cuban | 6 | 541 | 1.1% | 1.1 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Bakery | 8 | 923 | 0.9% | 0.9 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Seafood | 13 | 1623 | 0.8% | 0.8 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Japanese, Thai & Sushi | 15 | 2058 | 0.7% | 0.7 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.
Top 10 Cuisines by Concept Change
Top 10 concept-change proxy pairs
Source window has zero qualifying records for this table.
Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.
Per-Metro Spotlights
Miami-Dade: American leads the retail-rebrand turnover read at 25.0%, with 1 same-address churn locations in the metro slice. The named address behind the read is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365).
Broward: Desserts leads the retail-rebrand turnover read at 4.8%, with 1 same-address churn locations in the metro slice. The named address behind the read is 5007 N HIATUS RD in Sunrise (CARIBBEAN TOUCH CATERING -> HEIFERS & HOGS CO -> THE HAPPY HOUR PRIVATE CHEF SERVICES -> FLAIR CATERING LLC).
Palm Beach: Bagels leads the retail-rebrand turnover read at 7.1%, with 1 same-address churn locations in the metro slice. The named address behind the read is 411 S FEDERAL HWY in Boynton Beach (FLAME N STONE LLC -> BTB CATERING CORP -> GRACE'S FINE FOODS -> A&M GOURMET LLC).
Tampa Bay: Seafood leads the retail-rebrand turnover read at 25.0%, with 1 same-address churn locations in the metro slice. The named address behind the read is 5224 S DALE MABRY HWY in Tampa (EMPAMAMAS -> GOOD WOOD COOKING -> SABOR DEL CARIBE -> WHOLE BODY FUEL).
Per-metro retail-rebrand callouts
| Miami-Dade | American | 25.0% | 1 | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Broward | Desserts | 4.8% | 1 | 5007 N HIATUS RD in Sunrise (CARIBBEAN TOUCH CATERING -> HEIFERS & HOGS CO -> THE HAPPY HOUR PRIVATE CHEF SERVICES -> FLAIR CATERING LLC) |
| Palm Beach | Bagels | 7.1% | 1 | 411 S FEDERAL HWY in Boynton Beach (FLAME N STONE LLC -> BTB CATERING CORP -> GRACE'S FINE FOODS -> A&M GOURMET LLC) |
| Tampa Bay | Seafood | 25.0% | 1 | 5224 S DALE MABRY HWY in Tampa (EMPAMAMAS -> GOOD WOOD COOKING -> SABOR DEL CARIBE -> WHOLE BODY FUEL) |
Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.
Forward-Look — ORSM Predicted Closure Risk
Of 102,084 ORSM-scored licenses, 4,151 currently sit in the elevated or high risk bands. These are the licenses the baseline model flags as most likely to produce a closure, EOR, or ownership-change event in the coming quarters. They are the forward-look that CTI adds to the rear-view DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate table above: where turnover is most likely to happen next, not just where it happened last month.
severity spike vs self: 6 licenses (6 HIGH). Named entities include the named licenses in the table below. These are the restaurants where the same driver that pushed them into the elevated/high band is the one CTI expects to convert into a turnover event.
inspection severity well above peer cuisines: 8 licenses (8 HIGH). Named entities include TAQUERIA in Parrish. These are the restaurants where the same driver that pushed them into the elevated/high band is the one CTI expects to convert into a turnover event.
Foursquare flagged permanently closed: 1 licenses (1 HIGH). Named entities include the named licenses in the table below. These are the restaurants where the same driver that pushed them into the elevated/high band is the one CTI expects to convert into a turnover event.
Methodology
Methodology: CTI separates closure-status records, same-address churn locations, and same-address cuisine displacement proxies. Monthly closure rows use the last complete calendar month available to the renderer; supertransition and displacement rows use the full inspection corpus because they require multi-year address histories. The forward-look section is Phase-2-fed from the published RiskyEats data snapshot.
Data sources: Business turnover trends. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records — no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.