Weekly IRL brief ยท License records ยท Risk modeling

Anomaly Something unusual is happening right now. Glossary →

Live TSE Anomaly Feed

Top anomaly rows from TSE or ORSM fallback outputs.

The live anomaly feed uses TSE when present and ORSM/NIM fallback rows otherwise. IRL flags per-license inspection risk; ORSM and NIM outputs turn that ledger into a weekly anomaly surface with a primary driver rather than a naked score.

Share + credit: f Facebook ๐• Post in LinkedIn โ†‘ Reddit โœ‰ Email Please credit RiskyEats / FRI Analytics when sharing.

Updated 2026-07-07 11:46 UTC

๐Ÿ”ฌ TSE forecasts & anomaly detection powered by NVIDIA NV-Tesseract — open-source time-series foundation models.

⚠ This section was not refreshed this run — showing data last computed 2026-07-01 (5 days old). The forecasting/anomaly models were unavailable; figures are retained, not current.
Active rows19
SourceTSE

Charts

Anomaly magnitude
Donuts (cuisine) 0.246
Orange (county) 0.235
Orlando (city) 0.263
Clay (county) 0.264
Jacksonville (city) 0.253
Statewide 0.239
Statewide 0.262
Statewide 0.231
Unknown (division) 0.25
Donuts (cuisine) 0.236
Pinellas (county) 0.241
Orange Park (city) 0.244
Largo (city) 0.244
Lee (county) 0.251
Largo (city) 0.254
Lee (county) 0.253
Lake Buena Vista (city) 0.23
Orange (county) 0.247
St. Lucie (county) 0.233

Top 20 active anomalies
TSE time-series anomaly Donuts (cuisine) Florida (statewide series) Cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 cuisines typical range 24 of 100 2026-03-16 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Orange (county) Florida (statewide series) County closure rate per week, all Florida counties typical range 23 of 100 2026-03-16 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Orlando (city) Florida (statewide series) City closure rate per week, Florida cities typical range 26 of 100 2026-03-09 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Clay (county) Florida (statewide series) County closure rate per month, all Florida counties typical range 26 of 100 2026-03-01 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Jacksonville (city) Florida (statewide series) City closure rate per month, Florida cities typical range 25 of 100 2026-03-01 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Statewide Florida (statewide series) Strip-mall restaurant closure rate per week (unit/suite address) typical range 23 of 100 2026-02-09 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Statewide Florida (statewide series) License delinquency transitions per month, statewide typical range 26 of 100 2026-02-01 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Statewide Florida (statewide series) Shared-address restaurant cluster closure rate per week typical range 23 of 100 2026-01-26 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Unknown (division) Florida (statewide series) Per-Overture-neighborhood closure rate per week typical range 25 of 100 2026-01-19 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Donuts (cuisine) Florida (statewide series) Cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 cuisines typical range 23 of 100 2026-02-02 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Pinellas (county) Florida (statewide series) County closure rate per week, all Florida counties typical range 24 of 100 2026-03-09 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Orange Park (city) Florida (statewide series) City closure rate per week, Florida cities typical range 24 of 100 2026-02-09 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Largo (city) Florida (statewide series) City closure rate per month, Florida cities typical range 24 of 100 2026-03-01 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Lee (county) Florida (statewide series) County closure rate per week, all Florida counties typical range 25 of 100 2026-03-02 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Largo (city) Florida (statewide series) City closure rate per week, Florida cities typical range 25 of 100 2026-02-02 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Lee (county) Florida (statewide series) County closure rate per week, all Florida counties typical range 25 of 100 2026-02-23 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Lake Buena Vista (city) Florida (statewide series) City closure rate per week, Florida cities typical range 23 of 100 2026-01-26 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly Orange (county) Florida (statewide series) County closure rate per week, all Florida counties typical range 24 of 100 2026-01-19 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.
TSE time-series anomaly St. Lucie (county) Florida (statewide series) County closure rate per week, all Florida counties typical range 23 of 100 2026-01-12 Moderate Risk Anomaly Detected in this metro In the latest period, this metro triggered a moderate anomaly alert, deviating from historical baselines. No single metric dominated; the alert reflects a diffuse departure from this metro's historical baseline. The Fallout: 0 permanent closures this month. FRI Assessment: The anomaly reflects a broad-based departure from baseline rather than one dominant driver โ€” monitor for a clearer signal next period.

Raw counts mislead -- Putnam County losing 4 places is different from Miami losing 4. Use the rate or per-capita column for defensible comparisons. Methodology details linked above.

Data sources: License records ยท Risk modeling. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records โ€” no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.