The composite SPI score for the current quarter is 38 of 100. That score is built from six stacked pressures: labor (39), tourism (19), seasonal volatility (21), cost (42), concept saturation (41), and rent (69).
Because this is a pressure index, not a closure list, the signal is strongest when several factors point in the same direction. Florida's standing closure-status load is 8.0%, while April 2026 alone added 193 closure-status records and 441 ownership-change filings.
Labor - 39 of 100
Labor feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's labor score is 39 of 100 because the proxy reads 441 ownership-change approvals in April 2026, equal to 0.7% of the active base.
The named case to keep this concrete is ORIGINAL IGY'S CAFE in Tampa, and K-CRUNCH in Wesley Chapel. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Tourism - 19 of 100
Tourism feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's tourism score is 19 of 100 because the proxy reads tourism-heavy metro monthly closure-status pressure peaked at 0.6% in the displayed metro set.
The named case to keep this concrete is LA FONTANA D'ORAZIO in Doral, and GRANNY B'Z in Miami. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Seasonal Volatility - 21 of 100
Seasonal Volatility feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's seasonal volatility score is 21 of 100 because the proxy reads 193 quarter-to-date closure-status records through April 2026, versus 902 in the prior full quarter.
The named case to keep this concrete is LA FONTANA D'ORAZIO in Doral, and GRANNY B'Z in Miami. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Cost - 42 of 100
Cost feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's cost score is 42 of 100 because the proxy reads 8.0% standing closure-status load and 2.3% emergency-order rate in the one-year inspection window.
The named case to keep this concrete is SAND ON THE BEACH in Melbourne Beach, and MANDY'S RESTAURANT in Tampa. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Concept Saturation - 41 of 100
Concept Saturation feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's concept saturation score is 41 of 100 because the proxy reads 2,502 supertransition addresses, equal to 4.2% of the active license base.
The named case to keep this concrete is 502 E MAIN ST in Lakeland (OMUSUBEE -> TAQUERIA DEL ANGEL -> LAS ROSAS COLOMBIAN CUISINE -> HI LUMPIA FL). It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Rent - 69 of 100
Rent feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's rent score is 69 of 100 because the proxy reads North Port shows 16.5% city-level closure pressure in the pressure atlas.
The named case to keep this concrete is SAVOR 100X35 #3 in North Port, and TACO STOP in North Port. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Composite Read
The six factors together describe a market that is still expanding on paper but carrying visible pressure in the spaces between openings. Concept saturation and rent explain where addresses keep changing hands; cost and labor explain why existing operators show up in ownership-change and closure-status files; tourism and seasonality explain why the same statewide number feels different in Orlando, Miami, the Keys, Tampa Bay, and the Gulf Coast.
The practical read is not survival of the fittest. It is survival of the best-capitalized, best-located, least-confused operators in a market where 2,502 addresses have already shown multi-DBA churn and Atlantic Beach is carrying 55.8% neighborhood closure pressure.
SPI factor scores
| Labor | 18% | 39 of 100 | 441 ownership-change approvals in April 2026, equal to 0.7% of the active base | ORIGINAL IGY'S CAFE in Tampa, and K-CRUNCH in Wesley Chapel |
| Tourism | 16% | 19 of 100 | tourism-heavy metro monthly closure-status pressure peaked at 0.6% in the displayed metro set | LA FONTANA D'ORAZIO in Doral, and GRANNY B'Z in Miami |
| Seasonal Volatility | 16% | 21 of 100 | 193 quarter-to-date closure-status records through April 2026, versus 902 in the prior full quarter | LA FONTANA D'ORAZIO in Doral, and GRANNY B'Z in Miami |
| Cost | 18% | 42 of 100 | 8.0% standing closure-status load and 2.3% emergency-order rate in the one-year inspection window | SAND ON THE BEACH in Melbourne Beach, and MANDY'S RESTAURANT in Tampa |
| Concept Saturation | 18% | 41 of 100 | 2,502 supertransition addresses, equal to 4.2% of the active license base | 502 E MAIN ST in Lakeland (OMUSUBEE -> TAQUERIA DEL ANGEL -> LAS ROSAS COLOMBIAN CUISINE -> HI LUMPIA FL) |
| Rent | 14% | 69 of 100 | North Port shows 16.5% city-level closure pressure in the pressure atlas | SAVOR 100X35 #3 in North Port, and TACO STOP in North Port |
Methodology
Methodology: SPI uses six factor scores on a 0-100 scale. External labor, tourism, cost, and rent feeds are not present in output; current scores use DBPR closure-status load, ownership-change filings, emergency-order rate, supertransition pressure, and pressure-atlas city/neighborhood closure rates as transparent proxies.
Data sources: Violation history. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records โ no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.