The composite SPI score for the current quarter is 21 of 100. That score is built from seven stacked pressures: regulatory pressure, labor, tourism, seasonal volatility, cost, concept saturation, rent. Regulatory pressure (37) is the only factor with a live Phase 2 ORSM feed; the other six use transparent proxies until external data integrations land.
Because this is a pressure index, not a closure list, the signal is strongest when several factors point in the same direction. Florida's standing closure-status load is 4.1%, while July 2026 alone added 84 closure-status records and 431 ownership-change filings.
Regulatory Pressure - 37 of 100
Regulatory pressure is fed by the live Phase 2 ORSM baseline: 4,151 of 102,084 ORSM-scored licenses in high/elevated bands (4.1%), emergency-order rate 2.3%. This is the only SPI factor with a live Phase 2 data feed rather than a proxy estimate.
The named case to keep this concrete is the named licenses in the table below. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Labor - 28 of 100
Labor feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's labor score is 28 of 100 because the proxy reads 431 ownership-change approvals in July 2026, equal to 0.6% of the active base.
The named case to keep this concrete is FORT MYERS DINNER THEATRE LLC in Fort Myers, and EL CHARRO RESTAURANT AUTHENTIC MEXICAN GRILL in Ocala. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Tourism - 8 of 100
Tourism feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's tourism score is 8 of 100 because the proxy reads tourism-heavy metro monthly closure-status pressure peaked at 0.1% in the displayed metro set.
The named case to keep this concrete is SUPER PIZZERIA in Miami, and PICCOLA ITALIA in Miami. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Seasonal Volatility - 8 of 100
Seasonal Volatility feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's seasonal volatility score is 8 of 100 because the proxy reads 84 quarter-to-date closure-status records through July 2026, versus 1,049 in the prior full quarter.
The named case to keep this concrete is SUPER PIZZERIA in Miami, and PICCOLA ITALIA in Miami. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Cost - 25 of 100
Cost feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's cost score is 25 of 100 because the proxy reads 4.1% standing closure-status load and 2.3% emergency-order rate in the one-year inspection window.
The named case to keep this concrete is the named licenses in the table below. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Concept Saturation - 8 of 100
Concept Saturation feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's concept saturation score is 8 of 100 because the proxy reads 218 same-address churn locations, equal to 0.3% of the active license base.
The named case to keep this concrete is 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365). It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Rent - 35 of 100
Rent feed is not present in output, so this brief uses the closest current public-record signal. The quarter's rent score is 35 of 100 because the proxy reads Fort Myers shows 8.4% city-level closure pressure in the pressure atlas.
The named case to keep this concrete is SOUL BOWL ACAI in Fort Myers, and MIKUU RAMEN in Fort Myers. It does not prove the factor by itself; it shows the kind of record that moves inside the factor when the broader pressure is visible in license, ownership, inspection, or address-churn data.
Composite Read
The seven factors together describe a market that is still expanding on paper but carrying visible pressure in the spaces between openings. Regulatory pressure is the newest factor — it reads the per-license ORSM anomaly score distribution directly rather than approximating through closure rates, which means it captures inspection-trajectory problems that haven't yet become status changes. Concept saturation and rent explain where addresses keep changing hands; cost and labor explain why existing operators show up in ownership-change and closure-status files; tourism and seasonality explain why the same statewide number feels different in Orlando, Miami, the Keys, Tampa Bay, and the Gulf Coast.
The practical read is not survival of the fittest. It is survival of the best-capitalized, best-located, least-confused operators in a market where 218 addresses have already shown multi-DBA churn and Atlantic Beach is carrying 55.8% neighborhood closure pressure.
SPI factor scores
| Regulatory Pressure | 16% | 37 of 100 | 4,151 of 102,084 ORSM-scored licenses in high/elevated bands (4.1%), emergency-order rate 2.3% | the named licenses in the table below |
| Labor | 14% | 28 of 100 | 431 ownership-change approvals in July 2026, equal to 0.6% of the active base | FORT MYERS DINNER THEATRE LLC in Fort Myers, and EL CHARRO RESTAURANT AUTHENTIC MEXICAN GRILL in Ocala |
| Tourism | 14% | 8 of 100 | tourism-heavy metro monthly closure-status pressure peaked at 0.1% in the displayed metro set | SUPER PIZZERIA in Miami, and PICCOLA ITALIA in Miami |
| Seasonal Volatility | 14% | 8 of 100 | 84 quarter-to-date closure-status records through July 2026, versus 1,049 in the prior full quarter | SUPER PIZZERIA in Miami, and PICCOLA ITALIA in Miami |
| Cost | 14% | 25 of 100 | 4.1% standing closure-status load and 2.3% emergency-order rate in the one-year inspection window | the named licenses in the table below |
| Concept Saturation | 14% | 8 of 100 | 218 same-address churn locations, equal to 0.3% of the active license base | 860 NE 79 ST STE B in Miami (MET KITCHEN -> THE HEALTHY NEIGHBOR'S KITCHEN LLC -> BONE-NA-FIDE CATERING & GRILL SERVICES LLC -> COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 365) |
| Rent | 14% | 35 of 100 | Fort Myers shows 8.4% city-level closure pressure in the pressure atlas | SOUL BOWL ACAI in Fort Myers, and MIKUU RAMEN in Fort Myers |
Methodology
Methodology: SPI uses seven factor scores on a 0-100 scale. Regulatory pressure (16% weight) is fed by live Phase 2 ORSM baseline anomaly-score distribution. The other six factors (labor, tourism, seasonal volatility, cost, concept saturation, rent — each 14% weight) use DBPR closure-status load, ownership-change filings, emergency-order rate, same-address churn pressure, and pressure-atlas city/neighborhood closure rates as transparent proxies until external data feeds land.
Data sources: Violation history · ORSM Phase 2. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records — no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.